US Fund Managers Launch ETFs Tied to Election Outcomes
Bitwise Asset Management and GraniteShares are pioneering a new frontier in financial products with their filings for election-linked ETFs. The SEC applications signal a bold MOVE to bridge political prediction markets with mainstream investing.
Six PredictionShares ETFs will track outcomes of major US elections, including the 2028 presidential race and 2026 midterms. These funds allocate 80% to CFTC-regulated event contracts that pay $1 for correct predictions - creating binary exposure to political power shifts.
The initiative reflects growing institutional interest in outcome-based instruments, though regulatory hurdles remain. Market makers anticipate volatile swings as these products expose investors to the unpredictable nature of electoral politics.